Jordan Love TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

TD Passes

New York Jets vs Green Bay Packers · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-122/+117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 61.6% pass rate.
Jordan Love has been among the leading TD throwers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 1.47 per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.
The Jets defense has given up the 2nd-most touchdowns through the air in the league: 2.06 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3-point favorite this week.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 59.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast Jordan Love to attempt 32.1 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 10th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Jordan Love's 50.1% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a material drop-off in his passing precision over last season's 67.1% mark.
The New York cornerbacks grade out as the 8th-worst group of CBs in football last year in defending pass-catchers.