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Jordan Love

Jordan Love TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Love TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+195/-265).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -184 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +195.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Packers.
  • At the present time, the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Packers.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The model projects Jordan Love to attempt 37.6 passes in this contest, on balance: the 6th-most out of all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • With a subpar 63.3% Adjusted Completion% (25th percentile) this year, Jordan Love places as one of the least accurate QBs in the NFL.

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