Jordan Love Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 24, 2026 8:23 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Love Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread indicates a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 4.5 points.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most among all games this week.
With a stellar total of 6.2 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (80th percentile), Jordan Love has been as one of the top running QBs in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Packers to be the 8th-least run-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 37.8% run rate.
The Green Bay Packers have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume.
The projections expect Jordan Love to accumulate 2.6 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
After taking on 8.3% of his team's rush attempts last season, Jordan Love has played a smaller part in the running game this season, currently accounting for just 2.6%.