Jordan Love Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

Passing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Love Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 218.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 224.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This year, the anemic Vikings defense has yielded a monstrous 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.

Favors Under

The Green Bay Packers have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.2 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been wary to pass too much against the Vikings, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 34.0 per game) this year.
Jordan Love has been one of the least on-target QBs in football this year with a 58.3% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 3rd percentile.
The Vikings safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

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