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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Love Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 211.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 212.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 211.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Packers are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Jordan Love has been among the most effective QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 7.61 yards-per-target while grading out in the 84th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.44 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-least in football.
  • The Atlanta Falcons safeties project as the best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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