Jordan Love Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

Passing Yards

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jordan Love Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 231.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 223.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 231.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the anemic Giants defense has been gouged for the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing teams: a monstrous 5.32 YAC.
As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, New York's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

Favors Under

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to pass on 57.2% of their plays: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 63.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Giants defense this year (68.3% Adjusted Completion%).

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