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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jordan Love Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to have 133.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 8th-least run-focused team in the league (37.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.
  • This week, Jordan Love is predicted by the predictive model to notch the 4th-fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 1.9.
  • The Lions safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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