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Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

Jordan Addison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Vikings as the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

With a sizeable 88.3% Route Participation% (81st percentile) this year, Jordan Addison rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.

The Colts pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (70.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Vikings being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The Minnesota Vikings have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.1 plays per game.

Jordan Addison's pass-catching performance declined this year, averaging a mere 2.8 adjusted catches vs 4.1 last year.

Jordan Addison's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 67.0% to 63.3%.

The Indianapolis Colts cornerbacks project as the 4th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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