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Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Addison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (63.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Vikings.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 131.0 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • With an extraordinary 87.3% Route Participation% (85th percentile) this year, Jordan Addison ranks among the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of LBs has been awful this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.0 plays per game.
  • Jordan Addison's receiving performance has worsened this year, totaling just 3.0 adjusted receptions vs 4.1 last year.
  • Jordan Addison's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 67.0% to 62.6%.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (56%) to wideouts this year (56.0%).

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