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Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

Jordan Addison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 59.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 28.14 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Vikings to be the 8th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Jordan Addison has run a route on 87.6% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

Jordan Addison rates as one of the best WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 4.0 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 28.8 per game) this year.

Since the start of last season, the fierce New York Jets defense has surrendered a measly 63.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Jets linebackers profile as the best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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