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Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Jordan Addison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+128/-167).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -167.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Jordan Addison has run a route on 87.6% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wideouts.

With an excellent 4.0 adjusted receptions per game (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Jordan Addison places among the best pass-catching wide receivers in football.

Since the start of last season, the shaky Packers pass defense has conceded a staggering 68.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 7th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 8th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Vikings since the start of last season (just 56.4 per game on average).

The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

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