Jordan Addison Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jordan Addison

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Addison

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receptions

Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 7:56 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Addison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Vikings to pass on 67.9% of their downs: the highest rate among all teams this week.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Vikings have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.5 plays per game.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58%) versus wideouts this year (58.0%).
When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Kansas City's unit has been very good this year, profiling as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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