Jordan Addison Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jordan Addison

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Addison

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Addison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-104/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With an elite 89.8% Route Participation Rate (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Jordan Addison places among the WRs with the highest volume in the NFL.
Jordan Addison has put up a massive 72.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 0.56 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings as the 10th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Vikings are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call only 60.3 total plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Minnesota Vikings since the start of last season (just 51.6 per game on average).
The Vikings have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to mean reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing offense results when facing windier conditions this week.
With a poor 55.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (10th percentile) since the start of last season, Jordan Addison has been as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league among wideouts.

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