Jordan Addison Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Jordan Addison

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Addison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+100/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ 0 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings may take to the air less this week (and call more carries) because they be starting backup QB Carson Wentz.
At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan.
The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
With a remarkable 89.7% Route Participation Rate (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Jordan Addison ranks among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
In this contest, Jordan Addison is anticipated by the predictive model to rank in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 6.5 targets.

Favors Under

The Vikings have been the 10th-least pass-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 51.7% pass rate.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 51.7 plays per game.
Minnesota's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats reduced) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this game.
Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being called for in this game) typically mean lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
Jordan Addison grades out as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in a measly 55.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 13th percentile among wideouts