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Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

Jordan Addison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Vikings as the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

With a sizeable 88.3% Route Participation% (81st percentile) this year, Jordan Addison rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.

Jordan Addison has totaled many more air yards this season (78.0 per game) than he did last season (72.0 per game).

Jordan Addison's pass-catching effectiveness has been refined this year, notching 10.28 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 8.27 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Vikings being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The Minnesota Vikings have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.1 plays per game.

Jordan Addison's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 67.0% to 63.3%.

Jordan Addison's talent in picking up extra yardage have declined this season, totaling a measly 0.86 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.73 mark last season.

The Indianapolis Colts cornerbacks project as the 4th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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