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Jordan Addison

Jordan Addison Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Jordan Addison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 130.4 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Lions defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (42.2 per game) this year.

Jordan Addison has run a route on 88.2% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a mere 52.6 per game on average).

Jordan Addison's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 67.0% to 60.3%.

The Lions pass defense has displayed good efficiency against WRs this year, giving up 6.79 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

The Lions safeties profile as the best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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