Jordan Addison Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jordan Addison

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Addison

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Addison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings will be forced to use backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The model projects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
Jordan Addison has run a route on 87.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Jordan Addison has posted a staggering 79.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Vikings to run the 10th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 64.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Jordan Addison is positioned as one of the weakest wideouts in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.

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