Jordan Addison Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jordan Addison

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Addison

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 5:21 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Addison Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings will be rolling with backup QB Joshua Dobbs in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 63.1% of their plays: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 132.2 plays on offense called: the highest number among all games this week.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
This week, Jordan Addison is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 96th percentile among wideouts with 9.8 targets.

Favors Under

Jordan Addison ranks as one of the bottom wideouts in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.6%) vs. WRs this year (59.6%).
This year, the formidable Saints defense has surrendered the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a puny 7.2 yards.
The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks project as the 6th-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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