Jonnu Smith Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+669/-669).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 61.6% pass rate.
The New York Jets defense has conceded the 6th-most TDs through the air in football to TEs: 0.56 per game since the start of last season.
Favors Under
A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 3-point favorite this week.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 59.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
With a bad 69.9% Adjusted Catch Rate (17th percentile) since the start of last season, Jonnu Smith stands among the least sure-handed receivers in the league among TEs.
Opposing squads have run for the 8th-most touchdowns in the league (1.11 per game) against the Jets defense since the start of last season.
The New York Jets linebackers grade out as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL last year in covering pass-catchers.