My Account Log Out

reorder

Jonnu Smith

Jonnu Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

Jonnu Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-185).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Falcons are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 66.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most among all teams this week.

The Falcons have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.

In this week's contest, Jonnu Smith is projected by the model to secure a spot in the 77th percentile among TEs with 3.8 targets.

Jonnu Smith has been much more involved in his team's pass game this year (14.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (9.0%).

The Falcons offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

This year, the formidable Jets defense has given up a meager 65.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league.

As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's LB corps has been great this year, ranking as the best in the league.

More Jonnu Smith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™