Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 21, 2026 1:17 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 71.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a colossal 62.2 per game on average).
The model projects Jonathan Taylor to earn 16.7 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Out of all running backs, Jonathan Taylor grades out in the 98th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 74.2% of the workload in his team's ground game.
With a remarkable record of 71.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (94th percentile), Jonathan Taylor has been as one of the leading pure runners in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

The Colts are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to run on 38.6% of their downs: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 124.4 offensive plays run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jonathan Taylor's 4.1 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a material reduction in his rushing talent over last year's 5.1 rate.

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