Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 1:02 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 88.5 (-133/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 99.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 88.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 7-point advantage, the Colts are overwhelmingly favored in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.2 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Jonathan Taylor to total 19.3 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Jonathan Taylor has earned 75.2% of his team's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
With a stellar rate of 81.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (94th percentile), Jonathan Taylor stands as one of the best pure rushers in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Jonathan Taylor's 4.0 adjusted yards per carry this season illustrates a remarkable regression in his running proficiency over last season's 5.1 rate.

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