Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 84.5 (-111/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 88.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 84.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 64.6 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The projections expect Jonathan Taylor to total 20.3 carries in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Jonathan Taylor has received 78.0% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.
With an impressive rate of 87.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (94th percentile), Jonathan Taylor rates among the best pure rushers in football this year.

Favors Under

A passing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3-point underdog in this game.
Jonathan Taylor's running effectiveness has diminished this year, compiling a mere 4.07 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.05 mark last year.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Pittsburgh's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in football.

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