Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins · Week 10, 2026

Updated Nov 15, 2026 8:47 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-102/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Colts are favored in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on running than their normal game plan.
The Colts have been the 9th-most run-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 40.6% run rate.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.9 plays per game.
This week, Jonathan Taylor is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.6 carries.
The Miami Dolphins linebackers rank as the 6th-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Colts to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
After taking on 81.9% of his team's carries last season, Jonathan Taylor has been less involved in the rushing attack this season, now accounting for just 67.2%.
Jonathan Taylor's 65.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season indicates a material reduction in his rushing skills over last season's 81.0 mark.
Jonathan Taylor's 4.0 adjusted yards per carry this season conveys a meaningful decline in his running ability over last season's 5.1 figure.

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