Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

My Account Log Out

reorder

Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 12:42 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-108/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 76.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 76.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With regard to a defense's effect on pace, the Colts defense has allowed the opposing side to play 10th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) last year at 28.48 seconds per snap.
In this contest, Jonathan Taylor is predicted by the projections to place in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.4 rush attempts.
Jonathan Taylor has grinded out 82.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the highest marks in the NFL among running backs (99th percentile).
Jonathan Taylor's ground efficiency (5.06 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football last year (83rd percentile when it comes to running backs).
With an exceptional total of 3.52 yards after contact (91st percentile), Jonathan Taylor ranks as one of the tenacious RBs in the NFL last year.

Favors Under

A passing game script is suggested by the Colts being a -3-point underdog this week.
The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
While Jonathan Taylor has garnered 81.9% of his team's run game usage in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Indianapolis's ground game this week at 71.7%.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in football last year when it comes to stopping the run.

More Jonathan Taylor Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow