Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 12, 2025

Updated Nov 24, 2025 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 85.5 (-125/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 90.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 85.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this week's contest, Jonathan Taylor is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 20.0 rush attempts.
Jonathan Taylor has received 80.5% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.
With an impressive tally of 108.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (100th percentile), Jonathan Taylor ranks as one of the leading pure runners in the NFL this year.
Jonathan Taylor's running efficiency has been refined this season, notching 6.29 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 4.61 figure last season.
Jonathan Taylor's 4.47 yards-after-contact this year conveys a significant growth in his running talent over last year's 2.68 mark.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -4.5-point underdog in this week's game.
The Colts rank as the 8th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 36.6% run rate.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the model to run just 64.2 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
This year, the fierce Kansas City Chiefs run defense has yielded a puny 98.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 9th-best in football.
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the best unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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