My Account Log Out

reorder

Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 72.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 75.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Colts.

Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to garner 19.1 carries in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

After accounting for 56.8% of his team's run game usage last season, Jonathan Taylor has had a larger role in the running game this season, now making up 73.0%.

Jonathan Taylor has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (88.0) this season than he did last season (76.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Indianapolis Colts to run on 36.7% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

This year, the tough Vikings run defense has surrendered a puny 79.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Minnesota's collection of DEs has been terrific this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

More Jonathan Taylor Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™