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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 93.5 @ -260 before it was bet down to 79.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most run-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 42.3% run rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 133.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Colts have run the 10th-most plays in football last year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.

This week, Jonathan Taylor is predicted by the projection model to place in the 99th percentile among RBs with 18.1 carries.

Out of all running backs, Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 92nd percentile for rush attempts last year, taking on 60.1% of the workload in his team's running game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

The Texans defense has produced the best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks last year, allowing just 3.55 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

The Houston Texans defensive ends profile as the 6th-best DE corps in the league last year in regard to run defense.

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