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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 95.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts are a 4-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 10th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to garner 22.2 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
  • Jonathan Taylor has been given 84.3% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Jonathan Taylor's running effectiveness has declined this season, totaling a measly 4.72 yards-per-carry vs a 5.94 figure last season.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-least yards in the league (just 94 per game) versus the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season.
  • The Tennessee Titans safeties project as the 5th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on just 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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