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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jonathan Taylor Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -126.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to be a more important option in his offense's running game near the end zone this week (86.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (71.9% in games he has played).

Jonathan Taylor has rushed for 0.38 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the league among RBs (78th percentile).

The Indianapolis Colts have gone for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the worst in football this year at opening holes for runners.

Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-least TDs in football (0.50 per game) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive ends project as the 4th-best unit in football this year when it comes to run defense.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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