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Jonathan Taylor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+145).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Our trusted projections expect this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.The Bears defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (37.1 per game) since the start of last season.With an extraordinary 48.0% Route% (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Jonathan Taylor places among the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in football.The Indianapolis offensive line profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.Jonathan Taylor rates as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, catching a measly 72.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 21st percentile.As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Chicago's LB corps has been terrific since the start of last season, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.
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