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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Jonathan Taylor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 133.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Colts have run the 10th-most plays in football last year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 48.2% of his team's dropbacks last year, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.

In this contest, Jonathan Taylor is projected by the projections to slot into the 84th percentile among RBs with 3.4 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Colts to pass on 55.6% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

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