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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-107/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are anticipated by the projections to call 66.7 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week.
  • The 8th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Colts this year (a colossal 61.9 per game on average).
  • Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to garner 3.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The Indianapolis offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • With an impressive 2.5 adjusted receptions per game (81st percentile) this year, Jonathan Taylor rates among the best running backs in the pass game in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offensive strategy to skew 1.0% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with head coach Shane Steichen now calling the plays.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Colts to pass on 55.3% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Panthers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.6 per game) this year.
  • Jonathan Taylor's 40.3% Route Participation% this year shows an impressive decrease in his passing game utilization over last year's 64.8% mark.
  • Jonathan Taylor's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 81.2% to 76.7%.

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