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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-185).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 49.9% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.

THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to accumulate 3.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

The Houston Texans safeties grade out as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line has given their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a big 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The Colts rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 60.0% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in the league.

The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on just 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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