Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 21, 2026 12:37 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a colossal 62.2 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
With a top-tier 58.5% Route Participation% (98th percentile) this year, Jonathan Taylor has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.

Favors Under

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 124.4 offensive plays run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Minnesota Vikings, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 32.6 per game) this year.
Jonathan Taylor has notched a measly -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 18th percentile among running backs.
Jonathan Taylor's 69.6% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteable decrease in his receiving skills over last season's 84.9% mark.
The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (75.9%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (75.9%).

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