My Account Log Out
 
 
Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Colts as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Colts.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 41.9 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense this year: most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jonathan Taylor's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 77.7% to 67.0%.
  • This year, the daunting Vikings pass defense has yielded the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing RBs: a mere 7.2 YAC.
  • The Minnesota Vikings linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™