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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are anticipated by the projections to call 66.7 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week.
  • The 8th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Colts this year (a colossal 61.9 per game on average).
  • Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to garner 3.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Jonathan Taylor has put up a staggering 2.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs. (That might not seem like very many, but most RBs average negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • The Indianapolis offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offensive strategy to skew 1.0% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with head coach Shane Steichen now calling the plays.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Colts to pass on 55.3% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Panthers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.6 per game) this year.
  • Jonathan Taylor's 40.3% Route Participation% this year shows an impressive decrease in his passing game utilization over last year's 64.8% mark.
  • Jonathan Taylor's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 81.2% to 76.7%.

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