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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indianapolis Colts will be rolling with backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Colts have been the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 64.2% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 64.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in football.

Jonathan Taylor has posted a paltry -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 6th percentile among RBs.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Jonathan Taylor's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this season, averaging just 3.42 yards-per-target compared to a 6.12 mark last season.

Jonathan Taylor's talent in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this year, compiling a measly 6.19 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 9.60 rate last year.

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