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Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 51.1% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile among RBs.THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to accrue 3.8 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among running backs.Jonathan Taylor has been among the top pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 17.0 yards per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties profile as the 9th-worst safety corps in football since the start of last season with their pass rush.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Colts are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the league.Jonathan Taylor has put up a meager -3.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 2nd percentile among running backs.
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