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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Jonathan Taylor has gone out for more passes this season (62.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (49.9%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to total 3.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line has afforded their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Jonathan Taylor has accumulated a mere -5.0 air yards per game this year: just 6th percentile among running backs.
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Jonathan Taylor has notched many fewer receiving yards per game (12.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).

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