Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 29, 2022 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Jonathan Taylor has gone out for more passes this season (62.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (49.9%).
THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to total 3.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line has afforded their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Jonathan Taylor has accumulated a mere -5.0 air yards per game this year: just 6th percentile among running backs.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Jonathan Taylor has notched many fewer receiving yards per game (12.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).

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