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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Jonathan Taylor has run a route on 49.9% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to accumulate 3.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • Jonathan Taylor has been among the top RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 17.0 yards per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.
  • Jonathan Taylor has been among the best RBs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 9.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts are a big 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Colts rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 60.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in the league.
  • Jonathan Taylor has put up a paltry -3.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 3rd percentile among running backs.

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