Jonathan Taylor Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Carries

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 21, 2026 12:37 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-118/-112).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a colossal 62.2 per game on average).
The model projects Jonathan Taylor to earn 16.7 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Out of all running backs, Jonathan Taylor grades out in the 98th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 74.2% of the workload in his team's ground game.

Favors Under

The Colts are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to run on 38.6% of their downs: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 124.4 offensive plays run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Minnesota's collection of DEs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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