Jonathan Taylor Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Carries

Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 1:07 PM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With regard to a defense's effect on pace, the Colts defense has allowed the opposing side to play 10th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) last year at 28.48 seconds per snap.
In this contest, Jonathan Taylor is predicted by the projections to place in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.4 rush attempts.

Favors Under

A passing game script is suggested by the Colts being a -3-point underdog this week.
The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
While Jonathan Taylor has garnered 81.9% of his team's run game usage in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Indianapolis's ground game this week at 71.7%.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in football last year when it comes to stopping the run.

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