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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Colts.

Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to garner 19.1 carries in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

After accounting for 56.8% of his team's run game usage last season, Jonathan Taylor has had a larger role in the running game this season, now making up 73.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Indianapolis Colts to run on 36.7% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Minnesota's collection of DEs has been terrific this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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