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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-128/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to run on 46.5% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

In this game, Jonathan Taylor is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 95th percentile among running backs with 18.3 rush attempts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -5-point disadvantage, the Colts are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Colts this year (a mere 53.7 per game on average).

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The leading projections forecast Jonathan Taylor to be a much smaller piece of his team's run game in this week's contest (60.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (71.3% in games he has played).

The Texans linebackers project as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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