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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Indianapolis Colts vs Chicago Bears

Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Indianapolis Colts to run on 46.0% of their downs: the 5th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The model projects Jonathan Taylor to total 19.8 carries in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs.

After comprising 56.8% of his offense's run game usage last season, Jonathan Taylor has been called on more in the ground game this season, currently making up 70.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

The Chicago defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best DT corps in football since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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