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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills

Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 2nd-most run-oriented offense in football (44.7% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Colts.

This week, Jonathan Taylor is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 19.3 rush attempts.

After making up 56.8% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Jonathan Taylor has been more involved in the running game this season, now accounting for 72.9%.

The Buffalo Bills defensive tackles profile as the 8th-worst group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Colts are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.2 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The Colts have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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