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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to accrue 20.9 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.

Jonathan Taylor has been given 81.2% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among RBs.

The Indianapolis Colts have elected to go for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a giant 11.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 9th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.

The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles project as the best collection of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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