Jonathan Taylor Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jonathan Taylor

NFL · Player Props

Jonathan Taylor

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 140.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to accrue 19.9 carries this week, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among running backs.
Jonathan Taylor has garnered 80.9% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-worst collection of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Colts are a massive 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 34.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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