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Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jonathan Taylor Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.8 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to earn 19.0 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
  • Jonathan Taylor has garnered 79.4% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have risked going for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 35.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends project as the best unit in football this year with their run defense.

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